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Derby Fans Favor "All Others" At Close Of Final Pool Of Churchill Downs' 2004 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
By: John Asher
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (April 4, 2004) - After weekend prep races failed to
clear a murky Kentucky Derby picture, fans throughout North America
failed to settle on a favorite for the "Run for the Roses" and instead
made the mutuel field the people's choice in the third and final pool of
Churchill Downs' 2004 Kentucky Derby Future Wager ("KDFW").
The wagering interest that included all 3-year-old Thoroughbreds
other than the pool's 22 remaining individual horses stood as a solid
6-1 choice when wagering closed on Sunday, April 4 at 6:30 p.m. (EDT).
The result marked the first time in the wager's six-year history that
"all others" was favored in the final pool. Betting on Eurosilver (#5)
was suspended on Thursday when was pulled from consideration for the
Derby.
Betting during Pool 3's four-day run totaled $386,244, which
lifted the combined wagering for this year's pools to $1,282,168 - the
third-highest total in the Derby Future history. The Pool 3 total
included $201,428 wagered during its final hours on Sunday.
The mutuel field has been favored in Pool 1 in each of the
Future Wager's six years, but odds on that wagering interest had
traditionally climbed by Pool 3 as major contenders asserted themselves
in Derby prep races. But this year's preps have produced a parade of
longshots and unpredictable finishes, which have left the Derby scene
without a dominant contender and sent fans scrambling to "all others" in
the Future Wager. This weekend's preps continued the trend as none of
the four winners - Castledale in the Santa Anita Derby (GI), Pollard's
Vision in the Illinois Derby (GII), Kaufy Mate in the Aventura at
Gulfstream Park, and Bwana Charlie in Sunday's Lafayette (GIII) at
Keeneland - were listed among the individual betting interests in Pool 3
of the Future Wager, so all were included with "all others" in the
mutuel field. Kaufy Mate and Bwana Charlie are not nominated to the
Kentucky Derby and Visa Triple Crown.
Of the 22 remaining individual horses in the pool, Derby fans
threw their strongest support to Someday Farm's Smarty Jones, an
unbeaten son of Elusive Quality and the likely favorite in next week's
Arkansas Derby (GII). Smarty Jones had not been included among the
individual betting interests in this year previous pair of Derby Futures
pools, but closed as a clear 10-1 second choice in the final pool.
Derby fans also displayed strong backing on Pool 3's closing day for the
Bobby Frankel-trained Master David, who stood as the 12-1 third choice
after he started the day at 18-1. Willmott Stable's Eddington was next
at 13-1. Rock Hard Ten, disqualified from second to third in his stakes
debut in the Santa Anita Derby, came next at 14-1, and Imperialism,
awarded second at Santa Anita following interference by Rock Hard Ten,
stood at 15-1. Wimbledon, Lion Heart, The Cliff's Edge and Borrego all
closed at 16-1.
The Kentucky Derby Future Wager allows racing fans to bet on
contenders for the "Run for the Roses" weeks in advance of the race at
odds that could be more attractive than those they receive on Derby Day.
It is a $2 minimum wager and is a win bet only. There are 24 wagering
interests in each KDFW pool, which include 23 individual horses and a
mutuel field that contains all other 3-year-old Thoroughbreds -
regardless of whether those horses are nominated to the Kentucky Derby
and the Visa Triple Crown. There are no refunds in the Kentucky Derby
Future Wager.
More information on the Kentucky Derby and the 2004 Kentucky Derby
Future Wager is available the Internet at www.kentuckyderby.com.
2004 KENTUCKY DERBY FUTURE WAGER - POOL 3 (FINAL DAY)
| (#) Wagering Interest | Final Odds |
| 1. Action This Day | 16-1 |
| 2. Birdstone | 19-1 |
| 3. Borrego | 16-1 |
| 4. Eddington | 13-1 |
| 5. Eurosilver | SCR |
| 6. Friends Lake* | 22-1 |
| 7. Imperialism | 15-1 |
| 8. Limehouse | 28-1 |
| 9. Lion Heart | 16-1 |
| 10. Master David | 12-1 |
| 11. Minister Eric | 27-1 |
| 12. Preachinatthebar* | 20-1 |
| 13. Quintons Gold Rush* | 76-1 |
| 14. Read The Footnotes | 17-1 |
| 15. Rock Hard Ten | 14-1 |
| 16. Sinister G* | 64-1 |
| 17. Smarty Jones* | 10-1 |
| 18. Song of the Sword* | 77-1 |
| 19. St Averil | 26-1 |
| 20. Tapit | 23-1 |
| 21. The Cliff's Edge | 16-1 |
| 22. Value Plus | 25-1 |
| 23. Wimbledon | 16-1 |
| 24. All Other 3YO's | 6-1 |
* -- New wagering interest in Pool 3
Churchill Downs, the world's most legendary racetrack, has conducted Thoroughbred racing and presented America's greatest race, the Kentucky Derby, continuously since 1875. Located in Louisville, the flagship racetrack of Churchill Downs Incorporated (Nasdaq: CHDN) also operates Trackside Louisville, an off-track betting and training facility. Churchill Downs will conduct the 130th running of the Kentucky Derby on May 1, 2004. The track will conduct its 2004 Spring Meet from April 24-July 5. Churchill Downs has served as host to the Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships a record five times. Information about Churchill Downs can be found on the Internet at www.churchilldowns.com.
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Statistics
|
Wagering (by year) |
Pool 1 |
Pool 2 |
Pool 3 |
Total |
| 2004 |
$536,958 |
$358,966 |
$386,244 |
$1,282,168 |
| 2003 |
$516,906 |
$391,002 |
$222,261 |
$1,130,169 |
| 2002 |
$577,889*** |
$401,070 |
$524,847 |
$1,503,806 |
| 2001 |
$510,815 |
$372,961 |
$425,871 |
$1,309,647 |
| 2000 |
$465,454 |
$306,259 |
$387,206 |
$1,158,919 |
| 1999 |
$267,748 |
$178,811 |
$229,674 |
$676,233 |
|
Winning payout |
Pool 1 |
Pool 2 |
Pool 3 |
Derby payout |
| 2004 (Smarty Jones) |
$5.60 |
$10.80 |
$23.60 |
$10.20 |
| 2003 (Funny Cide) |
$188.00**** |
$120.80 |
$107.40 |
$27.60 |
| 2002 (War Emblem*) |
$7.60 |
$16.00 |
$24.00 |
$43.00 |
| 2001 (Monarchos) |
$36.60 |
$13.00 |
$15.80 |
$23.00 |
| 2000 (Fusaichi Pegasus) |
$27.80 |
$26.40 |
$8.00** |
$6.60 |
| 1999 (Charismatic*) |
$10.20** |
$30.20 |
$26.60 |
$64.60 |
* - Charismatic (1999) and War Emblem (2002) were members of the mutuel field in all three pools in their respective years
** - Favorite
*** - Single pool wagering record
****Record KDFW win payout
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