Derby Blogs

Dan Shapiro
East Coast

Awesome

Saturday, May 05, 2007

Street Sense looked awesome this week. He trained awesomely. He won awesomely.

Trainer Carl Nafzger was ridiculously confident this week. After the race, he acted like he expected this kind of performance.

So much for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Jinx. So much for the two-prep rule. Now we can get over all that stuff and move on.

Nafzger is a master horseman. Just as his did with Unbridled in 1990, he readied Street Sense to peak when it mattered most. The Tampa Bay Derby was a perfect return. Turns out he got everything he needed out of the Blue Grass at Keeneland on Polytrack.

I still can’t believe how fluidly this guy moves over the Churchill Downs surface, skimming the rail as if he’s stuck to it. Kudos to Calvin Bo-rail for another excellent, rail-skimming ride.

Big props go to trainer Larry “Cowboy” Jones and Hard Spun for a monster race. I expected him to fold after setting very fast fractions -- :22 4/5, :46 1/5 and 1:11. He dug in tenaciously and battled Street Since to the wire, finishing 5 ¾ lengths clear of Curlin.

As for Curlin, he ran well but it was obvious he couldn’t build any momentum on the final turn. He still stormed determinedly down the center of the track to nail the third spot.

Now it’s on to the Preakness, where Street Sense will be a relatively fresh horse in just his fourth start off the year. I’m sure Naftzger had this in his mind before the Derby. Street Sense appears to have no weaknesses and should be a legitimate threat to sweep the Triple Crown.

8 Responses

Hi!
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To all the readers of the blogs on this sight, if the blogs here do not continue, I would suggest checking out Dan Illman's blogs on drf.com. I enjoyed them almost as much as here and they are also informative. I believe they will continue year round as well. Hope to hear some more thoughts here or there for the next 2 weeks leading up to the Preakness.

So much for complex intelligence. A single, distictive event proves nothing, just like the handful of Juvie winners who actually made the race the next year and did not win
constituted a 'jinx' only in the minds of folks with a lotta empty space to fill. I'd caution you (just like I cautioned you with regard to your "unbridled" enthusiasm
with regard to Curlin) that if there is no specific formula to approach the Derby for a
specific horse, there is a "path" which most young horses should travel in order
to have the calm seasoning a race like this requires, along with the special talent
Steve A. just never got tired of talikin' about, and, still, after all is said and done,
appropriate breeding.
Additionally, this may not be (and I came to this possibility while doing my 'capping
last week) a very impressive crop of threes. It's possible the result (and I couldn't agree with you more about Hard Spun's race - he was my only temptation for a win
bet, but I held the line hard at 10-1 after posts were drawn, 'cause I thought it likely
he was gonna be first flight, not second) will be the first evidence that, for now,
there are only three very good reps from this class of otherwise generally modest
talents. In other words, SS breaks the "three-race rule" (which wiser heads will
continue to see as "the sufficient bottom path") and Curlin runs a decent third in
spite of his inexperience (tho' these guides have never been sold as aids to identifying the place and show horses) more because they were ganging up
with inherently greater talent against seventeen other fairly ordinary threes, than
any specific rules broken or honored by their trainers..
I think a triple crown is again unlikely. I think the nonsense about young and
still-relatively-new-at-this-level Todd Pletcher's so-called jinx is about as substantial
a piece of reporting as the "juvie jinx." Has he ever lost a triple crown race with anything approaching a favorite or even second-choice?

i want to commend all the website handicappers for doing a great job in coverage and in their picks. hats off to all who had street sense. see you in the preakness. wheres the next blog board?

I don't know if Hard Spun will run. Seems to like at least a month off between races.

Definitely the top two. Not sure about Curlin. I'm sure Pletcher will send one or two. Chelokee and King of the Roxy will be top the fresh challengers.

kevin-your right about roxy. i almost forgot. this is the race they are targeting. he will be with hard spun on the front end. throw in xchanger and they may give street sense another target to run at with less traffic. although the rail is not golden at pimlico

Which horses from the Derby do you think will run in the Preakness?