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Kathmanblu Emerges As Solid Favorite in 2011 Kentucky Oaks Future Wager

| cdrt | 03/14/2011 #

What appeared to be a wide-open 2011 pool of Churchill Downs’ Kentucky Oaks Future Wager (“KOFW”) turned out to be the opposite story as Five D Thoroughbreds and Wind River Stable’s Kathmanblu (#11) gained momentum throughout the three-day betting pool and emerged as a strong 7-2 choice to win the $1 million Kentucky Oaks (Grade I), America’s premier race for 3-year-old fillies, on Friday, May 6 at Churchill Downs. 

 The Ken McPeek-trained Kathmanblu was the clear favorite among 24 betting interests in the March 11-13 pool and a $2 win wager placed on the daughter of 2006 Kentucky Derby (GI) runner-up Bluegrass Cat will return $9.40 if she wins the Kentucky Oaks. McPeek’s filly, a 12-1 risk in Churchill Downs’ oddsmaker Mike Battaglia’s morning line odds for the Oaks Future wager, is expected to compete next in the $500,000 Fair Grounds Oaks (GII) on March 26. Four of the last six winners of the Kentucky Oaks – Rachel Alexandra (2009), Proud Spell (2008), Summerly (2005) and Ashado (2004) prepped in the race at New Orleans Fair Grounds before heading to Louisville.

 Mr. and Mrs. Jerome MossZazu (#23), winner of the Las Virgenes (GI) and runner-up in the recent Santa Anita Oaks (GI), and Fox Hill FarmsJoyful Victory (#10), an 8 3/4-length winner of the Honeybee (GIII) on Saturday at Oaklawn Park, were co-second choices at 7-1.  J. Paul Robsham Stable’s R. Heat Lightning (#16), winner of the recent Davona Dale (GII) at Gulfstream Park, and the mutuel field (#24), which included all 3-year-old fillies other than the 23 individual horses in the KOFW pool, were co-second choices at 9-1. 

 Kentucky Oaks had fans wagered $92,902 during the three-day pool, including $29,098 in exacta bets, when the Oaks Future betting concluded Sunday evening at 6:30 p.m. (EDT), 30 minutes after the end of betting in Pool 2 of its companion Kentucky Derby Future Wager.   The Kentucky Oaks Future bet was offered at racetracks and off-track betting centers throughout North America, and through Twinspires.com and other advance deposit wagering outlets.

The Kentucky Oaks Future Wager offered fans the opportunity bet on contenders for the 137th running of the $1 million Kentucky Oaks at odds that could be much more attractive than those available on the day of America’s premier race for 3-year-old fillies.  The Oaks, which attracted record on-track attendance of 116,046 in 2010, will be telecast live this year on NBC’s Versus network.

 Other fillies that attracted solid support from bettors during the three-day Oaks pool included Pocahontas (GII) winner Dancinginherdreams (#4) and It’s Tricky (#9), an easy winner of the recent Busher at Aqueduct.  Both fillies were 10-1 shots at the close of betting on Sunday.  Wyomia (#22), who scored a mild upset in Saturday’s $75,000 Suncoast Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs, opened the three-day pool as a 50-1 shot in the morning line, but her odds had dropped to 24-1 by the conclusion of betting on Sunday evening.

  The “All Others” betting interest was installed as the 5-2 favorite in Battaglia’s morning line odds after two fillies that figured to be major contenders for the favorite’s role were no included in the Oaks Future bet pool.  Unbeaten champion Awesome Feather, winner of the Grey Goose Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (GI), went to the sidelines with injury shortly after her Breeders’ Cup win and only recently returned to light training for trainer Chad Brown.  And Santa Anita Oaks winner Turbulent Descent was taken out of consideration for a Kentucky Oaks bid by trainer Mike Puype, who has concerns about his star’s ability to handle the 1 1/8-mile distance of the Kentucky Oaks

KENTUCKY OAKS FUTURE WAGER

March 11-13, 2011

FINAL ODDS & WILL PAYS

#

Wagering Interest

Morning

Line

3/11

3/12

FINAL

Will Pay

1

A Z Warrior

15-1

18-1

23-1

28-1

$59.00

2

Big Tiz

20-1

52-1

32-1

38-1

$79.60

3

Bouquet Booth

20-1

15-1

39-1

41-1

$85.00

4

Dancinginherdreams

10-1

11-1

9-1

10-1

$22.40

5

Delightful Mary

15-1

14-1

21-1

24-1

$51.00

6

Harlan’s Ruby

20-1

57-1

58-1

84-1

$170.20

7

Holy Heavens

50-1

72-1

91-1

82-1

$166.00

8

Inglorious

30-1

18-1

28-1

23-1

$49.00

9

It’s Tricky

10-1

28-1

19-1

10-1

$23.60

10

Joyful Victory

20-1

27-1

10-1

7-1

$17.80

11

Kathmanblu

12-1

5-1

9-2

7-2

$9.40

12

Mildly Offensive

50-1

17-1

27-1

51-1

$104.80

13

Miss Smarty Pants

50-1

32-1

34-1

44-1

$91.40

14

Oh Carole

50-1

44-1

42-1

54-1

$111.40

15

Pomeroys Pistol

30-1

99-1

99-1

127-1

$256.20

16

R Heat Lightning

8-1

12-1

7-1

9-1

$20.00

17

Rigoletta

30-1

50-1

45-1

56-1

$115.00

18

Royal Delta

20-1

27-1

28-1

37-1

$77.40

19

Salty Strike

30-1

93-1

89-1

100-1

$203.00

20

Snow Fall

50-1

55-1

59-1

56-1

$115.40

21

Summer Soiree

50-1

67-1

87-1

55-1

$113.00

22

Wyomia

50-1

59-1

36-1

24-1

$50.00

23

Zazu

8-1

9-2

5-1

7-1

$16.00

24

Mutuel Field (All Other 3YO Fillies)

5-2

6-1

8-1

9-1

$21.80

Morning Line Odds by Mike Battaglia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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