Opening weekend at Keeneland's prestigious fall meet is highlighted by the $500,000 Breeders' Futurity (G1), a 1 1/16-mile steppingstone toward the 2022 Kentucky Derby. The Breeders' Futurity awards Kentucky Derby qualification points to the top four finishers on a 10-4-2-1 basis, in addition to providing the winner with a fees-paid berth to the Nov. 5 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) at Del Mar.

Double Thunder
Total 4 start(s)
Wins:
3
Place:
0
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(86) when winning the Sapling S.
Total Earnings:
$248,850
Owner:
Phoenix Thoroughbred
Breeder:
WinStar Farm
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
Paco Lopez
Sire:
Super Saver
Dam:
Rattataptap
Color:
Gray/roan

Winner of the six-furlong Bashford Manor S. (G3) sprinting during the spring, Double Thunder recently stretched out over one mile to win Monmouth Park’s Sapling S. with a strong late rally. But the son of Kentucky Derby (G1) winner Super Saver was beaten to fourth place in the Saratoga Special S. (G2) during the summer at Saratoga, so the jump into Grade 1 company for the Breeders’ Futurity is a question mark.

Mr. Bouma
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(76) when breaking his maiden at Ellis Park.
Total Earnings:
$33,150
Owner:
Albaugh Family Stables
Breeder:
Libert Road Stables
Trainer:
Dale Romans
Jockey:
Corey Lanerie
Sire:
Candy Ride
Dam:
Overly Tempting
Color:
Dark bay/brown

After finishing fourth in his debut sprinting at Ellis Park, Mr. Bouma tackled a one-mile maiden event over the same track and survived a pace duel to win by a neck. But the 76 Brisnet Speed rating Mr. Bouma received is a bit light, so he’ll need improvement to challenge against tougher competition at Keeneland.

Stellar Tap
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(89) when breaking his maiden at Saratoga.
Total Earnings:
$63,662
Owner:
L and N Racing and Winchell Thoroughbreds
Breeder:
Moyglare Stud Farm
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Jockey:
Ricardo Santana
Sire:
Tapit
Dam:
Gioia Stella
Color:
Gray/roan

Stellar Tap couldn’t have been much more impressive in his debut at Saratoga, dueling for the lead through fast fractions before kicking clear to win by 5 1/4 lengths. But the stoutly bred son of Tapit disappointed when favored at 1-1 in the Iroquois S. (G3) at Churchill Downs last month, weakening to finish fifth. He’ll need a turnaround in his second route run if he’s going to challenge for victory.

Seal Beach
Total 3 start(s)
Wins:
0
Place:
2
Show:
1
Top Speed Rating:
(89) when finishing second in a maiden special weight at Churchill Downs.
Total Earnings:
$56,000
Owner:
Three Diamonds Farm
Breeder:
Morris B. Floyd
Trainer:
Michael Maker
Jockey:
Julien Leparoux
Sire:
Midshipman
Dam:
Fairway Luck
Color:
Bay

Although Seal Beach has yet to win a race, he hasn’t missed the trifecta in three starts while posting improving Brisnet Speed ratings. The son of Midshipman threw down an 89 when finishing second in a seven-furlong dash at Churchill Downs last month, so if Seal Beach improves again while stretching out around two turns, he can potentially challenge for a top-four finish.

Don't Wait Up
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
1
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(95) when breaking his maiden at Saratoga.
Total Earnings:
$75,000
Owner:
Cypress Creek Equine
Breeder:
Brereton C. Jones
Trainer:
Anthony Dutrow
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Sire:
Upstart
Dam:
Lovely Marissa
Color:
Bay

A troubled start and a wide trip saw Don’t Wait Up finish second by a nose in his debut at Saratoga, but the son of Upstart came right back to win a six-furlong sprint over the same track in gate-to-wire fashion. The reward was a flashy 95 Brisnet Speed rating, the highest figure earned by any horse in the Breeders’ Futurity field. Don’t Wait Up has been training up a storm since his maiden win and looks like a contender for victory, though stretching out over 1 1/16 miles is a question mark.

Rattle N Roll
Total 3 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
1
Top Speed Rating:
(82) when breaking his maiden at Churchill Downs.
Total Earnings:
$79,460
Owner:
Lucky Seven Stable
Breeder:
St. Simon Place
Trainer:
Kenny McPeek
Jockey:
Brian Hernandez
Sire:
Connect
Dam:
Jazz Tune
Color:
Chestnut

After suffering troubled runs in his first two starts, Rattle N Roll delivered a strong performance to break his maiden racing 1 1/16 miles at Churchill Downs. The Kenny McPeek trainee rallied from behind a slow pace to win by three lengths, earning a strong 103 Brisnet Late Pace ratings. The son of Connect is progressing in the right direction and still has upside for improvement, particularly if he encounters a quicker pace at Keeneland. Don’t be surprised if Rattle N Toll visits the winner’s circle.

American Sanctuary
Total 4 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
2
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(86) when finishing second in the Sapling S. at Monmouth Park.
Total Earnings:
$79,550
Owner:
Dare to Dream Stable
Breeder:
Ben Henley, Beck Henley, and Sebastien Murat
Trainer:
Christopher Davis
Jockey:
Sophie Doyle
Sire:
American Freedom
Dam:
Haven's Honey
Color:
Bay

Runner-up behind Double Thunder in the Sapling S., American Sanctuary is capable of producing an effective stretch rally on his best day. But the son of American Freedom scored his lone victory sprinting and was weakening down the homestretch of the Sapling, suggesting the 1 1/16-mile distance of the Breeders’ Futurity may stretch the limits of American Sanctuary’s stamina.

King Curlin
Total 1 start(s)
Wins:
0
Place:
1
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(66) when finishing second in his debut at Kentucky Downs.
Total Earnings:
$27,000
Owner:
RSR Racing Services
Breeder:
Woodford Thoroughbreds
Trainer:
Brittany Vanden Berg
Jockey:
Christopher Emigh
Sire:
Curlin
Dam:
Blingismything
Color:
Dark bay/brown

The stoutly bred King Curlin ran deceptively well in his debut racing one mile over the Kentucky Downs turf course last month, rallying gamely from behind a modest pace to finish second by 1 3/4 lengths. King Curlin is bred top and bottom to thrive on dirt, so switching surfaces for the Breeders’ Futurity offers the potential for an improved performance.

Great Escape
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
1
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(93) when breaking his maiden at Churchill Downs.
Total Earnings:
$79,660
Owner:
WinStar Farm and Siena Farm
Breeder:
Usquebaugh Stables
Trainer:
Rodolphe Brisset
Jockey:
Tyler Gaffalione
Sire:
Midnight Storm
Dam:
Chickasaw Gal
Color:
Dark bay/brown

It’s hard to knock anything Great Escape has done to date. The Rodolphe Brisset trainee threw down a 103 Brisnet Late Pace rating when rallying to finish a close second in his debut at Ellis Park, after which he employed tracking tactics to win a seven-furlong maiden sprint at Churchill Downs by 2 1/4 lengths. The latter effort produced a competitive 93 Brisnet Speed rating, suggesting Great Escape has the talent to challenge for victory in his stakes and route debut.

Mac's Time
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(81) when breaking his maiden at Ellis Park.
Total Earnings:
$32,130
Owner:
Albaugh Family Stables
Breeder:
Albaugh Family Stables
Trainer:
Dale Romans
Jockey:
Joe Talamo
Sire:
Not This Time
Dam:
Free Money
Color:
Chestnut

Mac’s Time never challenged in his debut at Ellis Park, finishing fifth by a wide margin. But the son of juvenile graded stakes winner Not This Time improved significantly in his second run, wiring a seven-furlong maiden event at Ellis by half a length. Mac’ Time will need to get faster from a Brisnet Speed rating perspective, but one more step forward can place him in the hunt for a top-four finish.

Costa Terra
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
1
Top Speed Rating:
(85) when winning his debut at Ellis Park.
Total Earnings:
$42,900
Owner:
Winchell Thoroughbreds
Breeder:
Winchell Thoroughbreds
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Jockey:
Francisco Arrieta
Sire:
Gun Runner
Dam:
Teardrop
Color:
Chestnut

A debut winner sprinting five furlongs at Ellis Park, Costa Terra put up a good fight in the seven-furlong Ellis Park Juvenile S. two months ago, rallying to finish third by half a length. The well-bred son of Gun Runner isn’t out of the mix for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen, though he risks a wide trip while breaking from post 11.

Kevin's Folly
Total 2 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
1
Top Speed Rating:
(84) when finishing third in the Hopeful S. (G1) at Saratoga.
Total Earnings:
$91,000
Owner:
Michael McLoughlin
Breeder:
Stonehaven Steadings
Trainer:
Tom Amoss
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
Sire:
Distorted Humor
Dam:
Santa Vindi
Color:
Dark bay/brown

The only horse in the Breeders’ Futurity field with Grade 1 experience under his belt, Kevin’s Folly arrives at Keeneland off a third-place finish in the Hopeful S. (G1) at Saratoga. But the form of the Hopeful wasn’t flattered when 1-2 finishers Gunite and Wit returned to suffer distant defeats in the Champagne S. (G1), making it difficult to analyze Kevin’s Folly’s chances. He’s training strongly for the Breeders’ Futurity, but drawing wide is a concern, and it’s possible 1 1/16 miles is farther than Kevin’s Folly wants to run.

Classic Causeway
Total 1 start(s)
Wins:
1
Place:
0
Show:
0
Top Speed Rating:
(93) when dominating his debut at Saratoga.
Total Earnings:
$55,000
Owner:
Kentucky West Racing and Clarke M. Cooper
Breeder:
Kentucky West Racing and Clarke M. Cooper Family Living Trust
Trainer:
Brian Lynch
Jockey:
Jose Ortiz
Sire:
Giant's Causeway
Dam:
Private World
Color:
Chestnut

Classic Causeway was thoroughly dominant in a seven-furlong maiden special weight at Saratoga last month, leading all the way to trounce his pursuers by 6 1/2 lengths with a 93 Brisnet Speed rating. This performance was flattered when runner-up Trafalgar returned to win his next start, suggesting Classic Causeway might be a star in the making. The fact he has tactical speed is a positive, affording him an option to come out of the gate running and avoid an overly wide trip around the first turn.