The twists and turns of the Road to the Kentucky Derby will come to a close Saturday and, when the dust settles, the Top 20 horses for the Grade I, $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve will be decided.

  Saturday’s Arkansas Derby will award 100 points to the winner and 40 points to the runner-up, which is an almost-guaranteed spot in the starting gate for the Kentucky Derby. Additionally, the 1 1/8-mile races will award 20 and 10 points, respectively, to the third and fourth-place finishers, which could be decisive to those competitors that have already garnered points in earlier races.

  The Arkansas Derby features Rebel Stakes (GII) winners Omaha Beach and Long Range Toddy, along with runner-up Improbable. While Long Range Toddy is mathematically confirmed in the starting gate for the “Run for the Roses”, Omaha Beach (37.5 points) and Improbable (25 points) need valuable points to secure their spot in the field.

  A record number of points could be needed to make the starting gate for this year’s Kentucky Derby. Since the Road to the Kentucky Derby series was inaugurated in 2013, the No. 20 point-earner has averaged about 24 points and the most was Mo Tom’s 32 in 2016. Prior to this weekend’s action, the cutoff to make the Kentucky Derby field was 37.5 points.

  Also staged on Saturday is the Lexington Stakes which will award the Top 4 finishers points on a 20-8-4-2 scale. Several horses not already in the Top 20 will contest that race including No. 23 Anothertwistafate (30 points) and No. 25 Sueno (28 points).

  The Arkansas Derby will go as Oaklawn Park’s Race 11 with a post time of 7:23 p.m. while Keeneland’s Lexington will go as Race 9 at 5:34 p.m.

 

LOUISIANA DERBY WINNER BY MY STANDARDS BREEZES HALF-MILE IN :48.80 AT CHURCHILL DOWNS – With just three weeks until the Grade I, $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve, TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (Grade II) winner By My Standards, breezed a half-mile in :48.80 at 5:45 a.m. Thursday morning at Churchill Downs.

  Flanked by Allied Racing Stable’s Chester Thomas and trainer Bret Calhoun, By My Standards was led to the track by stable pony Frankie with Calhoun’s wife Sara aboard and worked through eighth-mile fractions of :13 and :24.80, prior to an extended gallop out of five furlongs in 1:01.20 and six furlongs in 1:13.40. He pulled up near the track kitchen with a final seven-furlong time of 1:27.20, according to clocker John Nichols. Jockey Gabriel Saez was aboard for the work.

  “He keeps progressing really well,” Saez said. “He didn’t really turn a hair this morning. I wanted to make sure I gave him an easy work like last week and he did everything on his own. I think we’re in a great spot right now with two works remaining until the Derby.”

  By My Standards would give veteran trainer Calhoun his first starter in the Kentucky Derby.

  “I never had a top 3-year-old colt that I thought could get us to the Derby,” Calhoun said. “This is really the first horse we’ve had that can get us there. It’s been a pretty bumpy road as a trainer to finally get here and I’m really excited to be in the position we are.

  “Horse trainers are naturally nervous people. We’ve seen so many things come up the last minute with horses. We’ll be on the edge of our chairs from now until Derby. I’m very pleased to have six weeks between races. He ran his best race in the Louisiana Derby. I’m very happy we have some time between starts since he ran his best figures across the board in that race. He bounced out of the race in good shape but I think we’ll be coming into the race a fresh horse.”

  By My Standards is a son of Goldencents out of the Muqtarib mare A Jealous Woman.

  “Quite frankly, horses either can get a mile-and-a-quarter or not,” Calhoun said. “It’s a very demanding distance and I don’t want to push him or go overboard with his training. He’s ready and where he needs to be.”

  By My Standards is stabled on Barn 23 on the backstretch of Churchill Downs. – Kevin Kerstein

 

ARKANSAS DERBY A KEY PREP FOR IMPROBABLE, OMAHA BEACHBob Baffert already has Game Winner and Roadster set for the Kentucky Derby and Improbable can make it a formidable trio with an impressive showing in Saturday’s $1 million Arkansas Derby (GI) at Oaklawn Park. Listed as the 8-5 favorite in an 11-horse field, Improbable exits a neck second in the first division of the March 16 Rebel (GII) at Oaklawn and the chestnut son of City Zip will receive a rider switch to Jose Ortiz.

  Omaha Beach comes next on the morning line at 2-1 and Mike Smith rides the up-and-coming colt, who made his stakes debut a winning one with a nose score over 2-year-old champion Game Winner in the second division of the Rebel. Smith also rides Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Roadster and will be forced to choose between the two if Omaha Beach runs big. Richard Mandella trains the son of War Front.

  As a major final prep race in the Road to the Kentucky Derby series, the 1 1/8-mile Arkansas Derby will award points on a 100-40-20-10 scale to the top four finishers. Improbable needs a top three finish, currently ranking 27th on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard with 25 points, and Omaha Beach must add to his 37.5-point ledger or will drop outside the top 20 (currently 21st).

  Improbable will start from the rail and Omaha Beach appears favorably drawn in post 3.

  Long Range Toddy is already safely in the Kentucky Derby field with 53.5 points, winning the first division of the Rebel and Remington’s Springboard Mile in December. He’s also placed in an additional pair of qualifiers, the Southwest (GIII) and Smarty Jones at Oaklawn, and has been pegged as the early 5-1 third choice in the Arkansas Derby. The well-bred son of Take Charge Indy displayed outstanding push-button acceleration last time and Jon Court retains the mount for Steve Asmussen.

  Asmussen will also be represented by a trio of outsiders in Jersey Agenda, Laughing Fox and Tikhvin Flew.

  Galilean will return from Southern California after a third in the first division of the Rebel and Flavien Prat accompanies the Jerry Hollendorfer pupil. Country House, who finished second in the Risen Star (GII) at Fair Grounds two back, will try to show more for Bill Mott after a well-beaten fourth in the Louisiana Derby (GII) and Joel Rosario will take over piloting duties. Gray Attempt brings high speed to the equation following a wire-to-wire win in the six-furlong Gazebo on March 23. – James Scully/TwinSpires.com

 

ANOTHERTWISTAFATE, SUENO SEEK TO QUALIFY IN LEXINGTONAnothetwistafate and Sueno will enter Saturday’s $200,000 Lexington (GIII) outside the Kentucky Derby bubble, ranking 24th and 26th respectively on the leaderboard, and the 20-point winner’s prize should be enough to guarantee either a spot in the 20-horse Derby field. The stakes winners highlight a 10-horse field in the 1 1/16-mile race at Keeneland.

  Anothertwistafate picked up 10 points and capped a three-race win streak when recording a seven-length romp in the Feb. 16 El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields. He just missed securing a Kentucky Derby berth in the March 24 Sunland Derby (GII), rallying fast to be a neck second, and increased his points ledger to 30. The dark bay colt is by Scat Daddy, sire of 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify, and Anothertwistafate likes to be forwardly placed. Javier Castellano picks up the mount for trainer Blaine Wright.

  Sueno won a listed stakes at Golden Gate Fields in early December and has placed in three straight qualifiers since, finishing second in the Sham (GIII) at Santa Anita and Southwest (GIII) at Oaklawn Park before posting a third in the Louisiana Derby (GII) at Fair Grounds. Keith Desormeaux conditions the well-traveled colt and Corey Lanerie will be back up on the stalker.

  As part of the Road to the Kentucky Derby series, the Lexington is worth a combined 34 points (20-8-4-2 scale).

  Harvey Wallbanger may be prepping for a Preakness bid on May 18. A maiden winner in his juvenile finale, the Kenny McPeek-trained colt opened 2019 with a 29-1 upset in the Fountain of Youth (GII) at Gulfstream Park but did not carry his form forward in the Florida Derby (GI), checking in a well-beaten eighth. Brian Hernandez Jr. rides.

  Zelden looks like the one to catch following a fourth in the Tampa Bay Derby (GII). The former sprinter reeled off wicked splits on the front end and was beaten only four lengths by Tacitus, who came to capture the Wood Memorial (GII) last weekend. Hawaiian Noises will make his make his first graded stakes start with a three-race win streak in tow, most recently taking the 6 ½-furlong Animal Kingdom at Turfway Park. Knicks Go, who sprung a 70-1 upset the Breeders’ Futurity (GI) and finished second in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (GI) at long odds last fall, is also entered. The speedy colt must rebound from three consecutive unplaced outings. – James Scully/TwinSpires.com

 

PAST PERFORMANCES & HISTORY

 

Brinset.com Kentucky Derby Contenders Past Performances

http://bit.ly/2UgHCrP

 

Arkansas Derby Stakes History

http://bit.ly/2Usu1xz

 

Lexington Stakes History

http://bit.ly/2GGIIMh4

 

ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY TOP 25

 

#      Horse                              Trainer                                    Points

1.      Tacitus                             Bill Mott                                     150

2.      Vekoma                            George Weaver                          110

3.      Plus Que Parfait                Brendan Walsh                           104

4.      Roadster                           Bob Baffert                                100

5.      By My Standards               Bret Calhoun                              100

6.      Maximum Security            Jason Servis                                100

7.      Game Winner                  Bob Baffert                                  85

8.      Code of Honor                 Shug McGaughey III                     74

9.      Haikal                              Kiaran McLaughlin                       70

10.   War of Will                      Mark Casse                                   60

11.   Long Range Toddy           Steve Asmussen                             53.5

12.   Tax                                  Danny Gargan                             52

13.   Cutting Humor                  Todd Pletcher                              50

14.   Win Win Win                   Mike Trombetta                            50

15.   Gray Magician                  Peter Miller                                  41

16.   Spinoff                             Todd Pletcher                              40

17.   Bodexpress                       Gustavo Delgado                          40

18.   Signalman                        Kenny McPeek                             38

19.   Master Fencer (JPN)         Koichi Tsunoda                        JRTKD

20.   +Bye Bye Hong Kong       Andrew Balding                        ERTKD

21.   Omaha Beach                  Richard Mandella                         37.5

22.   Bourbon War                   Mark Hennig                                31

23.   Instagrand                        Jerry Hollendorfer                        30

24.   Anothertwistafate              Blaine Wright                               30

25.   Country House                  Bill Mott                                       30

 

DERBY DETAIL

 

BYE BYE HONG KONG WINS CARDINAL CONDITION STAKES, SECURES POINT LEAD ON EUROPEAN ROAD TO KENTUCKY DERBY King Power Racing Co. Ltd.’s Bye Bye Hong Kong narrowly defeated Antillies by a neck Thursday in the $77,254 Cardinal Condition Stakes at Chelmsford City and secured the points lead on the European Road to the Kentucky Derby with 30 points.

  Churchill Downs officials are awaiting word from Bye Bye Hong Kong’s ownership group to see if they would pay the $200,000 late supplement to the Triple Crown and accept the invitation to compete in the Kentucky Derby. Should his connections decline, the invitation would move to Antilles, who also is not currently Triple Crown eligible.

 

JAPAN ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY WINNER MASTER FENCER TRAVEL PLANS SET – Katsumi and Yasuyo Yoshizawa’s Master Fencer (JPN), who secured a Derby invitation via the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby, is scheduled to travel to the U.S. on April 23, according to Kate Hunter – the Japan-based representative for Churchill Downs.

  Master Fencer is slated to spend 42-48 hours in quarantine in Chicago prior to vanning to Keeneland on April 25 and continuing to Churchill Downs on Tuesday, April 30.

 

ADDITIONAL DERBY, OAKS ARRIVALS – As of Thursday morning, there were two Kentucky Derby and five Longines Kentucky Oaks contenders on the backstretch of Churchill Downs.

  Kentucky Derby contenders: By My Standards (Barn 23), Plus Que Parfait (Barn 9).

  Kentucky Oaks contenders: Champagne Anyone (Barn 26), Liora (Barn 30), Out for a Spin (Barn 37), Serengeti Empress (Barn 29) and Street Band (Barn 28).

  Liora is expected to breeze Saturday or Sunday while Street Band is slated to breeze Sunday or Monday.                    

 

TRIPLE CROWN NEWS AND NOTES – Trainer Todd Pletcher reported Sunland Derby (GIII) winner Cutting Humor and Louisiana Derby (GII) runner-up Spinoff would complete most of their training at Palm Beach Downs before shipping to Churchill Downs. … Trainer Danny Gargan arrived at Keeneland on Wednesday but Tax is still stabled in New York. Tax’s arrival plans are still in flux but Gargan expects the colt to ship to “possibly” have one work in Kentucky. … Plus Que Parfait arrived at Churchill Downs early Thursday morning and is based in Brendan Walsh’s Barn 9. … Nominations close on Saturday for Kentucky Derby Week stakes. For more information, visit https://www.churchilldowns.com/horsemen/stakes/nomination-forms/.

 

‘INSIDE CHURCHILL DOWNS’ RETURNS FRIDAY

 

  “Inside Churchill Downs” will begin its fifth season on ESPN Louisville’s ESPN 680/105.7 when it returns to the airwaves Friday at 6 p.m.

  The weekly one-hour horse racing radio show will be co-hosted by Churchill Downs Racetrack’s Darren Rogers and Kevin Kerstein, and deliver a wide-ranging list of interesting guests, from jockeys, trainers, owners to well-informed handicappers and other industry insiders.

  Those outside the Louisville radio market can listen live online at http://www.espnlouisville.com/ or via podcast on the station’s website or https://soundcloud.com/.

 

THE RUNDOWN

 

LEXINGTON (GII)

Saturday, April 13, $200,000, 3yo, 1 1/16 M, Keeneland (R9), Post time: 5:34 p.m. EDT, Lexington, Ky, Top 4 Points: 20-8-4-2. TV: TVG

 

#   Horse (Points)           Jockey                      Trainer              ODDS

  1.  +Shang (0)                  Irad Ortiz Jr.            Steve Asmussen       10-1

  2.  +Hawaiian Noises (0)  John Velazquez         Wesley Ward          10-1

  3.  Sueno (28)                   Corey Lanerie           Keith Desormeaux    5-1

  4.  Anothertwistafate (30) Javier Castellano       Blaine Wright           2-1

  5.  Harvey Wallbanger (10)                               Brian Hernandez Jr.          Kenny McPeek           7-2

  6.  Chase the Ghost (0)    Miguel Mena             Dallas Stewart         30-1

  7.  Knicks Go (18)           Albin Jiminez           Ben Colebrook       15-1

  8.  Owendale (0)              Florent Geroux         Brad Cox                12-1

  9.  Zenden (5)                  Tyler Gaffalione      Victor Barboza Jr.     6-1

10.  Roiland (10)                James Graham         Tom Amoss            15-1

 

ARKANSAS DERBY (GI)

Saturday, April 13, $1 million, 3yo, 1 1/8 M, Oaklawn (R11), Post time: 7:41 p.m. EDT. Hot Springs, Ark., Top 4 Points: 100-40-20-10. TV: NBCSN, TVG.

 

  # Horse (Points)         Jockey                      Trainer                    ML

  1. Improbable (25)        Jose Ortiz                 Bob Baffert                8-5

  2. Six Shooter (2)           David Cohen            Paul Holthus             30-1

  3. Omaha Beach (37.5)  Mike Smith               Richard Mandella       2-1

  4. Tikhvin Flew (0)        Tyler Baze                Steve Asmussen         30-1

  5. Laughing Fox (0)        Ricardo Santana Jr.   Steve Asmussen         20-1

  6. Gray Attempt (10)      Stewart Elliott           Jinks Fires                  8-1

  7. Galilean (7.5)             Flavien Prat              Jerry Hollendorfer    10-1

  8. Country House (30)    Joel Rosario             Bill Mott                   12-1

  9. +One Flew South (0)  Calvin Borel             Doug O’Neill           50-1

10. Jersey Agenda (0)       Ramon Vazquez        Steve Asmussen         30-1

11. Long Range Toddy (53.5)  Jon Court                 Steve Asmussen           5-1

 

FANTASY STAKES (GI)

Friday, April 12, $500,000 3yo fillies, 1 1/16 M, Oaklawn (R8), Post time: 6:04 p.m. EDT. Hot Springs, Ark.., Top 4 Points: 100-40-20-10. TV: TVG.

 

  # Horse (Points)         Jockey                      Trainer                    ML

  1. ++Cosmic Code (0)   Jon Court                 Brad Cox                  12-1

  2. $-Filly Joel (6)            David Cohen            Juan Alvarado           20-1

  3. Irish Mischief (0)       Stewart Elliot            Brad Cox                  10-1

  4. Lady Apple (0)           Ricardo Santana Jr.   Steve Asmussen           6-1

  5. Destiny Over Fate (0) Walter de la Cruz      Jesus Cruz                 30-1

  6. ++Super Tap (0)        Orlando Mojica        Bob Hess Jr.             50-1

  7. ++Kiffle (0)              Alex Canchari           Jesus Cruz                 50-1

  8. Motion Emotion (20) Mike Smith               Tom Van Berg            5-2

  9. Brill (2)                     Florent Geroux         Jerry Hollendorfer      7-2

10. Orra Moor (10)          Luis Saez                  Todd Pletcher            4-1

11. ++K P Slickem (20)   Tyler Baze                Weston Martin          20-1

12. Oxy Lady (21)            Declan Cannon        Jack Sisterson             6-1   

 

+Not Triple Crown Nominated

++Not Kentucky Oaks Nominated

$ Notified Churchill Downs officials that they will late nominate to the Kentucky Oaks

 

ROAD TO DERBY VIDEO SERIES

 

·        Episode 7: A Big Race for an Intimate Track

     http://bit.ly/RTKDEP7

·        Episode 6: A Potential Super Star

https://bit.ly/2SUlYYC

·        Episode 5: Follow Trainer Kelly Breen as he Trains Son of Orb

     https://bit.ly/2SwgeF3       

·        Episode 4 :Kenny McPeek – The Underdog Trainer

     https://bit.ly/2tl1fyM

·        Episode 3: Breeders’ Cup Battle Produces Early Derby Favorite

     https://bit.ly/2UZkWrY R

·        Episode 2: A Twist in the Road at Keeneland

     https://bit.ly/2DBL05h

·        Episode 1: Neuroscience to the Iroquois Stakes

     https://bit.ly/2SR398P

 

SCULLY’S KENTUCKY DERBY REPORT

 

Baffert, Mott & Padding Blue Grass Winner

 

Bob Baffert’s barn flexed its muscles with a one-two finish in the Santa Anita Derby (Grade I) and the Kentucky Derby maestro will send a top contender to the upcoming Arkansas Derby (GI). With a pair of Triple Crowns in the last four years and his sights set on a record-equaling sixth Kentucky Derby victory, Baffert could have the top three betting choices at Churchill Downs.

  Roadster made a case for Kentucky Derby favoritism by defeating well-respected stablemate and juvenile champion Game Winner, and Improbable will be on display at Oaklawn Park. The King and his court.

  Baffert’s synonymous with Triple Crown races but the Kentucky Derby limelight marks new ground for Bill Mott. Tacitus stretched his win streak to three in the Wood Memorial (GII) at Aqueduct, becoming only the second runner to capture multiple qualifiers this year, and was bet down as the 8-1 fourth choice in Pool 4 of the final Kentucky Derby Future Wager as a result. He’s a developing colt with upside for a Hall of Fame trainer and boasts the top BRIS Speed rating (103) this year. And I’m not taking those triple-digit BRIS Late Pace numbers lightly.

  The optics proved fascinating as Vekoma dominated the Blue Grass (GII) at Keeneland, delivering a 3 ½-length triumph as the 7-5 favorite. His front left has always rolled out instead of taking a straight line forward and while drawing away in deep stretch, Vekoma’s stride became extremely funky as all four legs appeared out of sorts.

  After a flurry of three major prep races last weekend, the Road to the Kentucky Derby series concludes with a pair of qualifiers this weekend.

  The $1 million Arkansas Derby offers a 170-point bounty (100-40-20-10 scale) and will affect the Kentucky Derby leaderboard, with Omaha Beach (21st in the standings), Country House (25th) and Improbable (27th) all needing points to lock down a berth. The $200,000 Lexington (GIII) at Keeneland offers less points (20-8-4-2) but still has value in this topsy-turvy season, with Anothertwistafate (24th) and Sueno (26th) the featured contenders.

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

After racing close to the early pace, Roadster dropped back entering the far turn and then came again with a wide rally into stretch. He passed four rivals to win going away by a half-length and stamped himself a major Kentucky Derby player.

  Baffert touted him as one to watch before the career debut and Roadster won his first start by open lengths as the odds-on favorite at Del Mar last summer. The gray colt emerged from a third-place finish in the Del Mar Futurity (GI) with a throat issue, necessitating minor surgery to clear his airways, and didn’t make it back to the races for six months. Roadster returned March 1 at Santa Anita, stretching out to two turns with a sharp entry-level allowance tally, and he’s now won three-of-four starts for Speedway Stable.

  By Quality Road, Roadster counts as half-siblings Ascend, winner of the 1 ¼-mile Manhattan (GI); and Moro Tap, a long-distance specialist who placed in the 1 ½-mile Louisville H. (GIII). Those relatives preferred turf but there’s no pedigree concerns surrounding the 1 ¼-mile Kentucky Derby distance with Roadster.

  Being lightly-raced doesn’t raise red flags in this era but seldom does a leading Kentucky Derby contender arrive having faced such short fields, with Roadster squaring off against only 14 combined rivals over the last three starts. He’ll be staring at 19 opponents in the post parade under the Twin Spires. And I would prefer to see a triple-digit BRIS Speed rating on the résumé, with Roadster netting a career-best 98 figure in the Santa Anita Derby. He garnered a 98 Late Pace after producing triple-digit numbers in the previous two starts.

  It was still easy to be impressed by Roadster’s stretch run and he’ll enter on the upswing for a dangerous conditioner, with Baffert owning a record 15 Triple Crown race wins. Mike “Big Money” Smith has served as the regular rider. No one should be surprised to see further improvement from the peaking colt on May 4.

  Roadster utilized an unorthodox trip but saved ground until launching his move. Game Winner lost ground the entire way in a short field, with Joel Rosario parking the multiple Grade I winner four wide entering the first turn and sticking to an overland route throughout. The Gary and Mary West colorbearer appeared poised to overtake pacesetter Instagrand leaving the far turn but didn’t get past until deep stretch. And while grinding his way toward the front, Game Winner could not withstand the late bid of Roadster.

  Unbeaten in four starts last year including the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (GI), Game Winner has opened 2019 with a pair of setbacks, returning with a nose second to Omaha Beach in the Rebel’s second division. He’ll still be very live in the Kentucky Derby betting.

  The last seven Kentucky Derby winners captured their final prep and the top three last year (Justify-Good Magic-Audible) were exiting wins. But don’t buy-in to its importance. Baffert’s first two Kentucky Derby winners, Silver Charm (1997) and Real Quiet (1998), were beaten in the San Felipe (GII) and Santa Anita Derby before sweeping the first two legs of the Triple Crown. Real Quiet had dropped three straight prior to arriving in Louisville, Kentucky.

  Game Winner is as honest as they come and Baffert has compared him favorably to Hall of Famer Silver Charm, a fine compliment indeed. The classy colt registered a 103 BRIS Speed rating winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs.

  OXO Equine’s Instagrand ran big in defeat but appears unlikely to make the Kentucky Derby field with 30 points. The Pat Day Mile (GIII) on the Derby Day undercard will be an option or he could wait for the May 18 Preakness.

 

Wood Memorial

 

Tacitus overcame an extremely rough trip in the early stages of the Wood Memorial, knocked around repeatedly by a chain reaction started by an opponent crossing in front of horses, and had to get back in stride after being clipped from behind by another rival on the first turn. That versatility could come in handy in a 20-horse Kentucky Derby field.

  After settling about 10 lengths off the pace along the backstretch, Tacitus launched a fierce rally once he came under a ride on the far turn. In fact, it was nearly a carbon copy of his win in the March 9 Tampa Bay Derby (GII) where Tacitus appeared to be going nowhere before being asked by Jose Ortiz. He responds both times with an eye-catching turn of foot, quickly erasing a 7 ¼-length deficit with three furlongs remaining in the Wood. The lightly-raced colt has lacked focus so far, relying upon the jockey for instructions, and that begs the question: what happens when he figures it out?

  Tacitus broke his maiden the second time out at Aqueduct in early November and came back from a five-month hiatus to post an 8-1 upset in the Tampa Bay Derby, scoring by a comfortable 1 ¼-length after rallying fast to the lead in midstretch. The Juddmonte Farms homebred improved to three-for-four in the Wood, earning career-best Speed (103), E2 Pace (100) and Late Pace (101) ratings. He may not have beaten the strongest field but Tacitus looked good drawing away from runner-up Tax in the latter stages and will bring formidable BRIS numbers to the Kentucky Derby.

  A son of Tapit, who has sired three winners of the 1 ½-mile Belmont Stakes, Tacitus is out 2014 champion older mare Close Hatches, a five-time Grade I winner over a route of ground. Storm Cat sired the second dam in this classy female family.

  Tax avoided early trouble and loomed a threat after rallying into contention off the far turn. The Arch gelding dueled with Tacitus before yielding in deep stretch, winding up 1 ¼ lengths behind the winner, and backed up his win in the Feb. 2 Withers (GIII) at Aqueduct. Turf will always be an option given his distinguished female family and Tax has registered triple-digit BRIS Speed ratings in the last three starts (103-102-101). Danny Gargan trains for R.A. Hill Stable and Reeves Thoroughbred Racing.

  Haikal closed plenty of ground while never a serious threat to the top two and finished a clear third in his first two-turn attempt. The Kiaran McLaughlin pupil stamped his ticket winning the March 9 Gotham (GIII) at a one-turn mile and Haikal will bring a closing kick to the first leg of the Triple Crown.

 

Blue Grass

 

Vekoma showed speed from post 2 and floated a little wide into the first turn of the Blue Grass, allowing Somelikeithotbrown to advance along the rail and show the way. Vekoma tracked closely in second until the completion of the far turn and surged into the stretch with a widening advantage. The athletic chestnut rolled unopposed to the wire.

  A convincing winner of his first two starts in New York, including the Nashua (GIII) at a one-turn mile, Vekoma found himself in traffic for the first time when returning this year in the March 2 Fountain  of Youth (GII) at Gulfstream Park and wound up a non-threatening third. The Candy Ride colt had to go fast to establish favorable positioning in the Blue Grass, registering 105 E1 and 114 E2 Pace ratings, and equaled a career-best 101 BRIS Speed rating. But Vekoma came home slowly, completing the final three furlongs in 39.38 seconds.

  While his tactical speed could prove advantageous in the Kentucky Derby, Vekoma faces a challenge at the 1 ¼-mile distance with his pedigree. He hails from the Grade I-winning sprinter Mona de Momma, a daughter of champion sprinter Speightstown. Vekoma will remain a promising prospect for trainer George Weaver and owners R.A. Hill Stable and Gatsas Stables even if the Kentucky Derby doesn’t turn out favorably.

  Win Win Win was stopped leaving the far turn and after regaining his momentum, the Michael Trombetta-trained colt closed ground to edge Signalman by a nose for second. Win Win Win was exiting a third as the 7-5 favorite in the Tampa Bay Derby, coming up empty after rallying into contention by upper stretch, and it’s fair to ask whether he’ll be good enough next time. But his late kick will offer some appeal underneath in Kentucky Derby exotics.

  Signalman enjoyed a good stalking trip behind the early runners but lacked a punch in the final furlongs. Third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, he concluded his 2-year-old season with a Kentucky Jockey Club (GII) win at Churchill Downs but has put himself in a perilous position by opening 2019 with a seventh in the Fountain of Youth and a third in the Blue Grass. Signalman currently sits 18th on the leaderboard with 38 points but could be surpassed by runners in the Arkansas Derby and Lexington this weekend.

 

Scully’s Kentucky Derby Top 10

 

1 OMAHA BEACH: Combines speed & resiliency; poised to run a big one in Arkansas Derby

2 LONG RANGE TODDY: Displayed enormous improvement beating Improbable last time

3 TACITUS: Mott & Tapit haven’t been a factor in the Derby; this could be the year

4 GAME WINNER: How do you leave the hard-knocking colt out of the top three?

5 ROADSTER: Santa Anita Derby winner merits serious respect

6 IMPROBABLE: Exits wide trip in return, no surprise if he runs well in Arkansas Derby

7 MAXIMUM SECURITY: Florida Derby winner will bring dangerous speed to Louisville

8 BY MY STANDARDS: Up-and-comer promises to be overlooked off Louisiana Derby upset

9 VEKOMA: Respect his talent but worry 10 furlongs will be too far

10 ANOTHERTWISTAFATE: Will know more after the Lexington. – James Scully/TwinSpires.com

 

ROAD TO THE LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS TOP 20

 

#      Horse                              Trainer                                    Points

1.      Bellafina                          Simon Callaghan                      132

2.      Champagne Anyone         Ian Wilkes                                113

3.      Street Band                       Larry Jones                               105

4.      Out for a Spin                  Dallas Stewart                           100

5.      Liora                                Wayne Catalano                         71

6.      Restless Rider                   Kenny McPeek                           62

7.      Serengeti Empress            Tom Amoss                                60

8.      Jaywalk                             John Servis                                 55

9.      Chocolate Kisses              Mark Casse                                 51

10.   Jeltrin                               Alexis Delgado                           51

11.   Positive Spirit                   Rodolphe Brisset                        50

12.   Flor de la Mar                  Bob Baffert                                40

13.   $-Cookie Dough               Stan Gold                                   40

14.   $-Dunbar Road                 Chad Brown                               40

15.   Eres Tu                            Steve Asmussen                           24

16.   Sweet Diane                     Eddie Kenneally                         22

17.   Oxy Lady                         Jack Sisterson                             21

18.   Point of Honor                 George Weaver                          20

19.   Naughty Joker                  Wesley Ward                              20

20.   Bizwhacks                        Doug O’Neill                             20

 

$ Notified Churchill Downs officials that they will late nominate to the Kentucky Oaks