Kentucky Derby Power Rankings: Big news shakes up rankings [Dec. 23]

Dec 26, 2025 Alastair Bull/TwinSpires.com

Mr. A. P. wins at Santa Anita 2025 (Photo by Benoit Photography)

Mr. A. P. is reportedly off the Derby trail (Photo by Benoit Photography)

There may have been three Kentucky Derby (G1) preps in the past week, but the biggest news on the Derby trail came from the training track.

Multiple media reports have said Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) runner-up Mr. A. P. sustained an injury in training, likely sidelining him until at least the end of March.

This effectively means that Mr. A. P., who was second on the Power Rankings following his Breeders’ Cup effort, is all but certain to miss the Kentucky Derby.

Trainer Vladimir Cerin said the injury, which he wouldn’t disclose, was minor and he should fully recover. If he is to run in a Triple Crown race, his best chance is probably the Belmont (G1),  but we may have to wait for a race like the Travers (G1) to see him take on the best again.

Losing a major Derby contender is unfortunate but not uncommon. This means that there will be a shake-up to the Power Rankings.

As far as the Road to the Kentucky Derby contests went, there was an impressive wire-to-wire victory in the Remington Springboard Mile by longshot Express Kid, and arguably less impressive wins in the Gun Runner S. by Chip Honcho and in the Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushun by Pyromancer. You can read more about them in the Kentucky Derby Roundup.

There were also some nice maiden efforts, which you can read about in the Derby Maiden Watch on TwinSpires Edge.

The sole race on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks, the Untapable S. at Fair Grounds, was taken out by Hit Parade narrowly from Luv Your Neighbor, whose rider lost his iron in the final yards.

Feel free to disagree with the Power Rankings. Your next chance to bet on the Derby will be in the Pool 3 Future Wager in mid-January, while the sole Oaks future wager will be available in mid-March. Have a great holiday season!

KENTUCKY DERBY POWER RANKINGS

1.      Ted Noffey (1 last week, no change).

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Ted Noffey

2.      Brant (3, +1)

Brant training at Santa Anita, October 2025

Brant training at Santa Anita, October 2025 (Photo by Horsephotos)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Brant

3.      Napoleon Solo (4, +1)

Napoleon Solo wins the Champagne Stakes at Aqueduct.

Napoleon Solo wins the Champagne Stakes at Aqueduct. (Photo by Coglianese Photo)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Napoleon Solo 

4.      Blackout Time (5, +1)

Blackout time wins at Ellis Park.

Blackout time wins at Ellis Park. (Photo by Coady Media)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Blackout Time

5.      Litmus Test (6, +1)

Litmus Test wins the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2)

Litmus Test gave trainer Bob Baffert his 15th Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) victory (Photo by Benoit Photo)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Litmus Test

6.      Further Ado (7, +1)

Further Ado wins the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs.

Further Ado wins the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs. (Photo by Coady Media)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Further Ado

7.      Incredibolt (8, +1)

 

Incredibolt wins the Street Sense at Churchill Downs

Incredibolt wins the Street Sense at Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Media)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Incredibolt

8.      Boyd (9, +1)

Boyd works in preparation for the Breeders Cup at Santa Anita Park.

Boyd works in preparation for the Breeders Cup at Santa Anita Park. (Photo by horsephotos.com)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Boyd

9.      Paladin (10, +1)

Paladin wins the Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct.

Paladin wins the Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct. (Photo by Coglianese Photo)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Paladin

10.    Desert Gate (11, +1)

Desert Gate winning the Best Pal (G3) at Del Mar

Desert Gate winning the Best Pal (G3) at Del Mar (Photo by Benoit Photo)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Desert Gate

11.    Englishman (12, +1)

Englishman wins at Churchill Downs.

Englishman wins at Churchill Downs. (Photo by Coady Media)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:Englishman

12.    Universe (13, +1)

Universe wins at Saratoga.

Universe wins at Saratoga. (Photo by Coglianese Photo)

TwinSpires Horse Profile:  Universe

13.    Intrepido (14, +1)

Intrepido wins the American Pharoah at Santa Anita.

Intrepido wins the American Pharoah at Santa Anita. (Photo by Benoit Photo)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Intrepido

14.    Satono Voyage (15, +1)

Satono Voyage wins the Cattleya S. at Tokyo

Satono Voyage kicked off the Japan Road with a popular victory in the Cattleya S. (Photo by Tomoya Moriuchi/Horsephotos.com)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Satono Voyage

15.    Renegade (16, +1)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Renegade

16.    Express Kid (new entry)

Little was expected from the California-bred in the Remington Springboard Mile after defeats in black type races at Prairie Meadows and Remington Park. It turned out his allowance victory on turf at his previous race after missing the start was a better guide to his ability, and he wired his opponents on Saturday in such a dominant manner that he earns a spot on this list.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Express Kid

17.    Blacksmith (17, no change)

Blacksmith works at Santa Anita Park.

Blacksmith works at Santa Anita Park. (Photo by horsephotos.com)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Blacksmith

18.    Soldier N Diplomat (18, no change)

Soldier N Diplomat wins at Churchill Downs.

Soldier N Diplomat wins at Churchill Downs. (Photo by Coady Media)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Soldier N Diplomat

19.    Golden Tempo (new entry)

Trainer Cherie DeVaux already has one impressive debut winner on this list: Englishman. This week, she adds a second with Golden Tempo, successful at Fair Grounds on Saturday. You could have written your own odds on Golden Tempo with three furlongs to go, so far had he been outpaced early in his six-furlong maiden. But he picked up the speed and rattled home his last quarter-mile, making up seven lengths to get up and score. Has the breeding to excel as the distances increase

20.    Chip Honcho (new entry)

Looked to have been seen off by Crown the Buckeye in the Gun Runner, but benefited from the latter running out of gas in the final sixteenth to earn victory over Liberty National and Crown the Buckeye. This follows a second-place finish on debut to Dr. Kapur and a good maiden victory at Churchill Downs. Promising, but still has a bit of ground to make up on other contenders.

Largest Gains: 14 horses all up one place.

Largest Fall: Mr. A. P. (removed from 2nd on list).

New to Derby Power Rankings this week: Express Kid (16), Golden Tempo (19), Chip Honcho (20).

Removed from Derby Power Rankings this week: Mr. A. P. (2nd last week), Buetane (19th last week), Cannoneer (20th last week).

 

KENTUCKY OAKS POWER RANKINGS

1.      Super Corredora (1 last week, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Super Corredora

2.      Explora (2, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Explora

3.      Zany (3, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Zany

4.      Bella Ballerina (4, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Bella Ballerina

5.      Percy’s Bar (5, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Percy's Bar

6.      Tommy Jo (6, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Tommy Jo

7.      Meaning (7, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Meaning

8.      Atropa (8, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Atropa

9.      Bottle of Rouge (9, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Bottle of Rouge

10.    Consequent (10, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Consequent

11.     Just Singing (11, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Just Singing

12.     Mythical (12, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Mythical

13.     Hit Parade (new entry)

Extended her unbeaten dirt record to three with a hard-fought victory over Luv Your Neighbor in the Untapable. She’s tended to grind out victories rather than outclass her opponents, but her consistency has earned her 10 Oaks Road points and a spot on this list.

14.    La Wally (13, -1)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: La Wally

Largest Gains: Hit Parade (new entry at 13).

Largest Fall: La Wally (down 1).

New to Oaks Power Rankings this week: Hit Parade (13).

Removed from Oaks Power Rankings this week: Cashed (14th last week).

 

Previous Kentucky Derby & Kentucky Oaks Power Rankings

Week 11 — Dec. 16, 2025
Week 10 — Dec. 9, 2025
Week 9 — Dec. 2, 2025
Week 8 — Nov. 24, 2025
Week 7 — Nov. 18, 2025
Week 6 — Nov. 10, 2025
Week 5 — Nov. 3, 2025
Week 4 — Oct. 27, 2025
Week 3 — Oct. 21, 2025
Week 2 — Oct. 14, 2025
Week 1 — Oct. 7, 2025

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