Kentucky Derby Power Rankings: Big Week For 'All Others' Future Wager Option

Jan 20, 2026 Alastair Bull/TwinSpires.com

Golden Tempo wins the Lecomte at Fair Grounds.

Golden Tempo wins the Lecomte at Fair Grounds. (Photos by Benoit Photo)

Week 16: If you needed any reminders that, three and a half months out, there are still many contenders for the Kentucky Derby, the weekend’s events provided plenty.

Thirty-nine horses were individually-named options in this week’s Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3, but the winner of the only Derby points-scoring race wasn’t one of them.

It was perhaps questionable that Golden Tempo, a former Power Rankings inductee, was left out of the Future Wager options after his outstanding maiden victory Dec. 20. Punters certainly disagreed for Saturday’s Lecomte (G3), making him the favorite ahead of five Future Wager individual options in the field.

Golden Tempo duly delivered, though he benefitted from a ground-saving Jose Ortiz ride, beating stable companion Mesquite, whose effort was almost as good given the extra ground he covered.

Golden Tempo wasn’t the only impressive three-year-old male at Fair Grounds; another winner from there (also not a Future Wager option) has made the Power Rankings this week.

Not surprisingly, given the weekend’s events, the most popular option in the Future Wager was the “All Other 3-year-olds” option, which closed at 7-2, shorter than the 4-1 morning line. Interestingly, there was a lot of support for maiden winners Chief Wallabee, Thunderously, D’code, and former Power Rankings alumni Cannoneer in the Future Wager market, perhaps reflecting the general lack of clarity in the Derby picture beyond favorite Ted Noffey.

The Power Rankings will look at how all the horses fared in the Future Wager and their next likely targets. More information about the Derby picture can be found in the Kentucky Derby Roundup. Among the maidens, a horse to watch could be debut winner Knock It Off. He recorded a very fast time when leading all the way over six furlongs, and with a female line that includes Bodemeister, Smart Strike, and Theatrical, he could have stamina potential – though it is possible the Derby might come a bit soon for him.

You can read more about Knock It Off and other impressive sophomore maiden winners, such as Reagan’s Honor, in the Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch.

The fillies got their chance at Kentucky Oaks points in the Silverbulletday S., but a pedestrian early pace makes it a little hard to assess the race. Nonetheless, its winner makes the Oaks Power Rankings. Arguably the most impressive three-year-old filly of the week was debutante winner Just Bluffing; she is by the sprinter Mitole, but her pedigree also includes stamina influences Curlin and Empire Maker, and she looks one to follow.

Feel free to disagree with the Power Rankings – and to back your own judgment when Pool 4 of the Future Wager arrives February 13-15.


KENTUCKY DERBY POWER RANKINGS

1.         Ted Noffey (1 last week, no change).

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 6-1.

Returned to the worktab this week for the first time since his Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) victory. Still the standard-bearer for his generation, he is expected to return to racing in the Fountain of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream Park Feb. 28.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Ted Noffey

2.         Brant (2, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 23-1.

Still had plenty of friends in the Future Wager, despite not yet returning to the worktab. His plans are unknown.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Brant

Brant training at Santa Anita, October 2025

Brant training at Santa Anita, October 2025 (Photo by Horsephotos)

3.         Napoleon Solo (3, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 30-1.

Ted Noffey wasn’t the only notable horse to return to work this week. Napoleon Solo had his first significant gallop since winning the Champagne (G1) in early October, breezing three furlongs in 36.45 at Palm Meadows in Florida.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Naoleon Solo

Napoleon Solo wins the Champagne Stakes at Aqueduct.

Napoleon Solo wins the Champagne Stakes at Aqueduct. (Photo by Coglianese Photo)

4.         Blackout Time (4, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 43-1.

Trainer Kenny McPeek was disappointed when vets scratched Blackout Time from the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, but he has only just resumed training, reportedly breezing three furlongs this weekend at Fair Grounds. He’s expected to officially return to the worktab shortly; McPeek is targeting a race return in early March.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Blackout Time

Blackout time wins at Ellis Park.

Blackout time wins at Ellis Park. (Photo by Coady Media)

5.         Litmus Test (5, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 35-1.

The form around the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) winner Litmus Test wasn’t enhanced by a lacklustre effort by runner-up Blacksmith in a maiden last week, but Litmus Test’s earlier efforts still show he deserves a high ranking. Expected to run next in either the Robert B. Lewis (G3) Feb. 7 or the San Felipe (G2) March 7.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Litmus Test

Litmus Test wins the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2)

Litmus Test gave trainer Bob Baffert his 15th Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) victory (Photo by Benoit Photo)

6.         Further Ado (6, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 26-1.

Moved to Florida following his Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) victory in November, Further Ado is reportedly being considered to begin his three-year-old campaign in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) on March 7.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Further Ado

Further Ado wins the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs.

Further Ado wins the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs. (Photo by Coady Media)

7.         Incredibolt (7, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 37-1.

Another to move to Florida after winning a graded race at Churchill Downs, in his case, the Street Sense (G3). He is working at Palm Meadows and has been nominated for the Holy Bull S. on Jan. 31.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Incredibolt

Incredibolot wins at Churchill Downs.

Incredibolot wins at Churchill Downs. (Photo by Coady Media)

8.         Boyd (8, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 34-1.

Continues to work at Santa Anita, recording 1:01.8 over five furlongs Jan. 15. His plans are unclear; his two starts have both been at six furlongs, so it’s still not known if he’s seen as having the requisite stamina for a Derby campaign.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Boyd

Boyd works in preparation for the Breeders Cup at Santa Anita Park.

Boyd works in preparation for the Breeders' Cup at Santa Anita Park. (Photo by horsephotos.com)

9.         Paladin (9, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 14-1.

One of the talking horses of his generation, partly due to his $1.9 million yearling price tag but also because of his two race victories, the most recent in the Remsen (G2). He’s at work at Payson Park in Florida and is among the many leading Derby contenders nominated for the Holy Bull.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Paladin

Paladin wins the Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct.

Paladin wins the Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct. (Photo by Coglianese Photo / Credit to Chelsea Durand)

10.   Desert Gate (10, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 58-1.

Was being considered for the Saudi Derby Feb. 14, but after being ruled out of the San Vicente (G2) last week, the multiple juvenile Grade 1 placegetter’s next start is unclear. He does, however, remain in training, working six furlongs twice in the past 10 days.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Desert Gate

Desert Gate winning the Best Pal (G3) at Del Mar

Desert Gate winning the Best Pal (G3) at Del Mar (Photo by Benoit Photo)

11.   Strategic Risk (11, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 30-1.

Punters showed him a little love in Pool 3 of the Future Wager, but the 30-1 odds suggest they feel he still has a bit to prove following his Smarty Jones S. victory. He is most likely to run next in either the Southwest Stakes (G3) on Jan. 31 or the Rebel (G2) on March 1, both back at Oaklawn.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Strategic Risk

Strategic Risk wins the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park.

Strategic Risk wins the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park. (Photo by Coady Media / Credit to Andrew Stauffacher)

12.   Golden Tempo (re-entry)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds (All Other 3-Year-Olds Option): 7-2.

Briefly on the Power Rankings list after his maiden victory, he confirmed his promise with a last-to-first victory in the 1 1/16-mile Lecomte at Fair Grounds. On Brisnet Ratings, it wasn’t the most outstanding performance, but it was a victory that suggested better was to come, especially as the distance approaches the Derby trip of 1 1/4 lengths. Likely to return to Fair Grounds for the Risen Star Feb. 14.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Golden Tempo

Golden Tempo wins at Fair Grounds.

Golden Tempo wins at Fair Grounds. (Photo by Hodges Photo)

13.   Intrepido (12, -1)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 87-1.

Like many Californian three-year-olds, his preparation has been impacted by the rain, which led to multiple Santa Anita racing cancellations in the past month. Reportedly being set for the Robert B. Lewis (G3) on Feb. 7 provided he can get adequate work into his legs.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Intrepido

Intrepido wins the American Pharoah at Santa Anita.

Intrepido wins the American Pharoah at Santa Anita. (Photo by Benoit Photo)

14.   Satono Voyage (13, -1)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: (All Other 3-Year-Olds Option) 7-2.

At last report, Satono Voyage was expected to follow his classy Cattleya Sho victory by following the popular Japanese path to the Kentucky Derby – not in the home series, but in the Middle East, possibly the Saudi Derby Feb. 14.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Satono Voyage

Satono Voyage wins the Cattleya S. at Tokyo

Satono Voyage kicked off the Japan Road with a popular victory in the Cattleya S. (Photo by Tomoya Moriuchi/Horsephotos.com)

15.   Renegade (14, -1)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 37-1.

One of the best maidens in the country, having been relegated to second after finishing ahead of Paladin on his debut, then overcoming an interrupted preparation to run second to the same horse in the Remsen. Working at Palm Beach Downs in Florida, Renegade has a number of potential options for his next start, but he does carry a nomination to the Holy Bull.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Renegade

16.   So Happy (15, -1)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 32-1.

Beat some good horses in the San Vicente earlier this month, which earned him some Future Wager support. His most likely next start is the San Felipe back at Santa Anita on March 7.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: So Happy

So Happy wins the San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita

So Happy wins the San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita. (Photo by Benoit Photo)

17.   Nearly (18, +1)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 20-1.

Very popular in Future Wager betting, with only three horses ahead of him when the market closed. His mettle is likely to be tested in the Holy Bull at Gulfstream Park Jan. 31.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Nearly

18.   Commandment (20, +2)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 23-1.

His victory in the Mucho Macho Man S. clearly impressed many Future Wager punters, and his closing odds were longer than only Ted Noffey, Paladin, Chief Wallabee, and Nearly. He’s not nominated for the Holy Bull, so it remains to be seen where he’s headed next.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Commandment

Commandment wins the Mucho Macho Man Stakes.

Commandment wins the Mucho Macho Man Stakes. (Photo by Coglianese Photo)

19.   Express Kid (19, no change)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: 99-1.

As hinted last week, Express Kid’s online sale made him a candidate for a trainer switch, and that duly happened in the last week. Now in the care of Justin Evans, he’s being set for the Sunland Park Derby Feb. 15.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Express Kid

Express Kid upsets the Remington Springboard Mile

Express Kid outran his 34-1 odds in the Springboard Mile (Photo by Dustin Orona Photography/Remington Park)

20.   Jackson Hole (new entry)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Closing Odds: (All Other 3-Year-Olds Option): 7-2.

On the same card that Golden Tempo won the Lecomte, Jackson Hole produced a classy effort to win an allowance with an all-the-way victory in a faster time than Golden Tempo produced. Expected to run in a Derby points race next; what he can produce at a longer trip against better horses is yet to be seen, but he has plenty of potential.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Jackson Hole

 

Largest gain: Commandment (up 2).

Largest fall: Satono Voyage, Renegade, So Happy, Englishman, Universe, Nearly (all down 1).

New to Derby Power Rankings: Jackson Hole (20).

Returning to Derby Power Rankings: Golden Tempo (12).

Removed from Derby Power Rankings: Englishman (16th last week), Universe (17th last week).


KENTUCKY OAKS POWER RANKINGS

1.         Super Corredora (1 last week, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Super Corredora

 

2.         Explora (2, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Explora

 

3.         Zany (3, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Zany

 

4.         Bella Ballerina (4, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Bella Ballerina

 

5.         Percy’s Bar (5, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Percy's Bar

 

6.         Dazzling Dame (6, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Dazzling Dame

 

7.         Tommy Jo (7, no change)

 

8.         Meaning (8, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Meaning

 

9.    Taken by the Wind (re-entry)

Taken by the Wind showed that the time she spent on the vet list since her Pocahontas (G3) victory in September hadn’t impacted her by winning the Silverbulletday. It wasn’t a great effort in terms of Brisnet ratings – she set a pedestrian pace which put her in prime position to sprint home best – but she remains unbeaten in three starts, two of which were stakes races. On the right path, but still has more to prove.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Taken by the Wind

 

10.    Bottle of Rouge (10, no change)

 

11.    Consequent (11, no change)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Consequent

 

12.    Atropa (9, -3)

Wasn’t helped by the slow pace in the Silverbulletday S. However, given she was sitting right behind the pace, there would be more confidence in her Oaks prospects had she displayed the speed to pass Taken by the Wind and Luv Your Neighbor, which she couldn’t do. Her chances of winning the Oaks may depend on a fast pace.

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Atropa

 

13.    Just Singing (12, -1)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Just Singing

 

14.    Mythical (13, -1)

TwinSpires Horse Profile: Mythical

 

Largest Gains: Taken by the Wind (re-entry at 9).

Largest Fall: Atropa (down 3).

New to Oaks Power Rankings this week: No horses.

Returning to Oaks Power Rankings: Taken by the Wind (9).

Removed from Oaks Power Rankings this week: Powered by Family (14th last week).

 

Previous Kentucky Derby & Kentucky Oaks Power Rankings

Week 15 — Jan. 13, 2026
Week 14 — Jan. 6, 2026
Week 13 — Dec. 30, 2025
Week 12 — Dec 23, 2025
Week 11 — Dec. 16, 2025
Week 10 — Dec. 9, 2025
Week 9 — Dec. 2, 2025
Week 8 — Nov. 24, 2025
Week 7 — Nov. 18, 2025
Week 6 — Nov. 10, 2025
Week 5 — Nov. 3, 2025
Week 4 — Oct. 27, 2025
Week 3 — Oct. 21, 2025
Week 2 — Oct. 14, 2025
Week 1 — Oct. 7, 2025

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